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Tropical Cyclone/Depression FAY - AL072014

This page contains intensity forecasts for the storm FAY - AL072014 using the PIIH model. Predictions are made every 12 hours for up to 5 days (120 hours) into the future. Prediction intervals at a confidence of 68%, 90% and 95% are shown as cones around the prediction. The real intensities are added for comparison as they come in. Note that PIIH does not account for landfall and thus predictions when the storm hits land are not valid!

Forecasts for 10/10/2014 18:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/11/2014 00:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/11/2014 06:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/11/2014 12:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/11/2014 18:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/12/2014 00:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/12/2014 06:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/12/2014 12:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/12/2014 18:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/13/2014 00:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/13/2014 06:00 GMT

Forecasts for 10/13/2014 12:00 GMT

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We would like to thank James Franklin (Hurricane Specialist Unit, NHC, NOAA) and Dr. Mark Demaria (NESDIS Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch, CIRA) for their help.

NSF This work is based on TRACDS sponsored by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. IIS-0948893.

Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.